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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 23?

data as of 2026-07-21 13:40 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 23, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
25¢
NO
75¢
YES
25¢
YesY-NNo
Position$371−$836$1.2K
Holders28−735
Trades82−890
NO
75¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.2%
−43.8 pp
84.0%
Avg ROI11.0%
+9.1 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.05×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.06×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$192
−$438
$630
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.5%
+5.8 pp
-1.3%
Underwater %5.8%
−67.5 pp
73.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.4%
−12.9 pp
18.3%
Bot %22.4%
−22.0 pp
44.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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