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Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

data as of 2026-05-30 22:43 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 11, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
YES
12¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.9K−$4.0K$6.8K
Holders166−73239
Trades1.5K+3681.1K
NO
88¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.0%
−1.8 pp
61.8%
Avg ROI3.8%
+4.4 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.98
+1.15×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.40
+1.61×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29
−$170
$199
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-55.8%
−78.6 pp
22.8%
Underwater %99.0%
+98.6 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.2%
−34.8 pp
56.0%
Bot %21.3%
−37.2 pp
58.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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