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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-11 12:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.6K−$29$1.7K
Holders21+417
Trades125+7118
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.9%
−4.6 pp
59.6%
Avg ROI16.8%
+13.2 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.33
+7.66×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.45
+6.79×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$143
−$865
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.6%
−139.3 pp
52.7%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
−59.9 pp
93.5%
Bot %33.5%
−60.0 pp
93.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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