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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 4?

data as of 2026-06-04 00:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$29−$978$1.0K
Holders24−428
Trades93−29122
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.2%
−51.1 pp
87.3%
Avg ROI8.9%
−7.9 pp
16.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.06
+1.09×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.73
+0.75×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$158
$163
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.2%
−44.6 pp
2.4%
Underwater %66.2%
+64.3 pp
1.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.0%
+26.8 pp
0.2%
Bot %25.7%
+24.7 pp
1.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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