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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 05:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.2K−$379$6.5K
Holders130+13117
Trades1.4K+1911.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+2.9 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI3.2%
+1.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.21
+34.60×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×43.07
+42.51×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
−$1.4K
$4.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.09
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.7%
−171.6 pp
74.0%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.1%
+8.8 pp
54.3%
Bot %69.7%
+5.2 pp
64.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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