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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 08:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$13K$22K
Holders510+132378
Trades4.3K−4784.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
+1.9 pp
48.5%
Avg ROI0.7%
+2.2 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−18.42×
×18.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−18.36×
×18.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.8K
+$11.2K
$19.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.5%
+169.0 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.3%
+1.6 pp
30.7%
Bot %51.9%
+6.0 pp
45.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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