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Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on July 15?

data as of 2026-07-14 02:28 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 15, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
4¢
NO
96¢
YES
4¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$9$10
Holders101
Trades2+11
NO
96¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate74.9%
+8.0 pp
66.8%
Avg ROI43.8%
+37.4 pp
6.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.12
+0.13×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.12
+0.13×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$9
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-11.1%
−11.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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