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Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-26 06:34 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
37¢
NO
63¢
YES
37¢
YesY-NNo
Position$151K+$6.3K$144K
Holders334+133201
Trades6.0K+1.4K4.6K
NO
63¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.8%
+6.5 pp
58.3%
Avg ROI2.3%
−7.2 pp
9.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.27
+0.55×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.29
+0.44×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$5.8K
−$14.2K
$8.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.9%
−41.9 pp
21.0%
Underwater %84.8%
+59.2 pp
25.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.8%
+0.1 pp
21.7%
Bot %21.5%
−0.2 pp
21.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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