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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 17?

data as of 2026-04-15 10:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18−$2.0K$2.0K
Holders49−251
Trades291+120171
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.0%
−62.6 pp
89.6%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.7 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.56
+0.58×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$23
$23
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.24
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-36.0%
−37.3 pp
1.4%
Underwater %46.5%
+46.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.4%
−20.3 pp
52.6%
Bot %32.4%
−20.3 pp
52.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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