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Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the March meeting?

data as of 2026-02-20 23:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$441−$35K$36K
Holders68−2290
Trades1.1K+1261.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.6%
−48.0 pp
87.6%
Avg ROI5.5%
+2.0 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+1.97×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.08
+1.08×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$374
$384
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-51.1%
−50.6 pp
-0.5%
Underwater %61.9%
−24.0 pp
85.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.4%
−42.1 pp
68.6%
Bot %5.2%
−63.4 pp
68.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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