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Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

data as of 2026-04-11 08:48 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$403−$6.4K$6.8K
Holders43+241
Trades277+168109
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.2%
−32.6 pp
74.9%
Avg ROI10.3%
+11.2 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.09
+8.18×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.75
+9.86×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$408
$413
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.14
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.8%
−102.8 pp
12.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+97.4 pp
1.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.4%
−9.4 pp
18.8%
Bot %11.1%
−7.7 pp
18.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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