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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6PM ET

data as of 2025-08-30 22:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.2K−$15K$24K
Holders58+2137
Trades852−115967
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
+0.5 pp
43.5%
Avg ROI1.0%
+8.1 pp
-7.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.84
+5.09×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.59
+4.86×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$179
−$440
$619
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.08
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.1%
−120.9 pp
38.7%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %91.7%
+61.4 pp
30.4%
Bot %89.5%
+63.4 pp
26.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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