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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 16:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$10K$3.2K
Holders247−43290
Trades1.7K−1501.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+9.2 pp
45.7%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.7 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−5.81×
×6.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−6.44×
×7.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.5K
+$9.4K
$3.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.7%
+109.8 pp
-88.1%
Underwater %0.2%
−88.5 pp
88.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.8%
+0.3 pp
26.5%
Bot %64.4%
+3.0 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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