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XRP Up or Down - March 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 07:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$499−$160$660
Holders63+3231
Trades254+128126
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.0%
−24.0 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI-1.1%
+0.0 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.37
+14.65×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$268
+$16
$252
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.30
0.70
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−133.2 pp
39.4%
Underwater %85.7%
+85.2 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.1%
−11.2 pp
76.2%
Bot %65.1%
−11.2 pp
76.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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