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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 14?

data as of 2026-04-14 10:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$171−$2.9K$3.1K
Holders67−37104
Trades512+137375
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−32.7 pp
85.7%
Avg ROI5.7%
+5.4 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.33
+7.36×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.89
+8.93×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$86
$88
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.22
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.6%
−94.9 pp
4.3%
Underwater %97.7%
+91.3 pp
6.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.2%
+49.9 pp
9.4%
Bot %59.6%
+50.2 pp
9.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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