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Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 20?

data as of 2026-04-20 10:06 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$309−$26K$27K
Holders103−32135
Trades1.1K+592533
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.4%
−51.7 pp
85.1%
Avg ROI9.4%
+4.3 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.46
−0.56×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.46
−0.56×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34
−$1.5K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.07
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.6%
+97.6 pp
-1.9%
Underwater %1.3%
−97.7 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.4%
+1.4 pp
6.0%
Bot %8.9%
+3.2 pp
5.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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