Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 27?

data as of 2026-07-26 10:48 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 27, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
34¢
NO
67¢
YES
34¢
YesY-NNo
Position$240−$326$566
Holders24−529
Trades34−1246
NO
67¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+8.6 pp
41.5%
Avg ROI9.1%
+9.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.91
−0.13×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−0.09×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$223
−$314
$536
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.16
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.2%
+11.6 pp
-3.4%
Underwater %47.4%
−36.4 pp
83.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.1%
−1.8 pp
3.9%
Bot %3.1%
−6.1 pp
9.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse