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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-13 14:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K−$48K$71K
Holders376+21355
Trades7.5K+8236.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−14.3 pp
62.1%
Avg ROI5.9%
+6.2 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.99
+23.25×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.65
+23.92×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.4K
−$6.3K
$11.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.12
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.9%
−131.7 pp
35.7%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.3%
−2.5 pp
78.8%
Bot %74.7%
−3.3 pp
78.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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