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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-14 18:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$16K$5.6K
Holders2170217
Trades2.6K−272.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.2%
+12.0 pp
43.2%
Avg ROI-2.2%
+2.2 pp
-4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−11.72×
×12.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−10.35×
×11.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.3K
+$5.9K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.9%
+121.6 pp
-91.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.2 pp
97.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.9%
+6.0 pp
72.9%
Bot %78.2%
+7.9 pp
70.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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