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Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10PM ET

data as of 2025-12-16 03:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$5.6K$6.9K
Holders43+142
Trades553−272825
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.6%
−35.2 pp
65.9%
Avg ROI2.7%
+0.6 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.81
+17.02×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.57
+17.79×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$29
−$184
$212
Recent buyer dominance0.77
+0.19
0.57
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−122.1 pp
27.5%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %89.7%
+25.5 pp
64.3%
Bot %91.2%
+27.2 pp
64.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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