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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

data as of 2025-11-04 11:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$3.2K$21K
Holders191+49142
Trades1.2K+331.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−7.2 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI11.4%
+5.3 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.29
+41.76×
×0.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$974
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.05
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−185.9 pp
88.4%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.1 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.0%
+6.7 pp
53.4%
Bot %30.7%
+10.0 pp
20.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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