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Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

data as of 2026-06-21 21:05 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
40¢
NO
60¢
YES
40¢
YesY-NNo
Position$25−$42$67
Holders404
Trades6+24
NO
60¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−83.9 pp
83.9%
Avg ROI0.0%
−26.3 pp
26.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
−$12
$35
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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