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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 1?

data as of 2026-05-01 13:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$85−$6.5K$6.6K
Holders41−3576
Trades669+259410
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.2%
−52.1 pp
84.3%
Avg ROI6.0%
+6.3 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.71
+0.72×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.26
+1.27×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$11
$11
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.05
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.2%
−54.0 pp
0.8%
Underwater %70.0%
+31.3 pp
38.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.6%
+0.1 pp
1.5%
Bot %1.6%
+0.1 pp
1.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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