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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 17:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$8.5K$12K
Holders280+56224
Trades2.3K+2622.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
−8.4 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI13.6%
−2.5 pp
16.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.97
+1.23×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.73
+0.97×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.4K
−$7.0K
$10.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-43.2%
−75.5 pp
32.3%
Underwater %79.4%
+76.7 pp
2.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.5%
−15.2 pp
72.7%
Bot %64.6%
−9.9 pp
74.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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