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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-01-05 19:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$46K−$10K$56K
Holders338−59397
Trades9.2K−2209.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.4%
−1.0 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−4.8 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.42
−57.49×
×57.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−55.24×
×55.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.9K
−$799
$21.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.04
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL129.9%
+228.1 pp
-98.2%
Underwater %0.1%
−99.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+0.6 pp
80.7%
Bot %79.2%
+0.3 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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