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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-20 16:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$834−$27$861
Holders21+129
Trades318−27345
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−10.0 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI4.3%
+2.0 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.33
+7.53×
×0.80
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.99
+6.26×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$88
$97
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.23
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.4%
−118.7 pp
33.3%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.8%
−33.8 pp
60.7%
Bot %24.2%
−36.4 pp
60.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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