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Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-18 17:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$209K−$569K$778K
Holders465−103568
Trades13K−2.8K16K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.0%
−11.9 pp
68.9%
Avg ROI3.5%
−0.5 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.61
+7.67×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.49
+8.57×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$301
+$24.5K
−$24.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.2%
−97.5 pp
9.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.2%
+43.0 pp
16.2%
Bot %25.1%
+8.9 pp
16.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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