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XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 20:46 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$170−$50$219
Holders21+1011
Trades80+872
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.2%
+10.3 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−0.75×
×1.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−0.76×
×1.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$1
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.03
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.2%
+89.8 pp
-28.6%
Underwater %1.9%
−95.8 pp
97.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.2%
−7.4 pp
79.6%
Bot %73.4%
−6.2 pp
79.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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