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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?

data as of 2026-04-05 00:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.2K−$28K$32K
Holders138−22160
Trades1.2K+366873
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.7%
−0.8 pp
62.5%
Avg ROI5.9%
−25.6 pp
31.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×309.01
+308.52×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×548.29
+547.78×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$74
−$1.8K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.8%
−179.5 pp
79.7%
Underwater %96.8%
+96.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.5%
−6.9 pp
28.5%
Bot %21.5%
−6.9 pp
28.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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