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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 16:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K+$20K$12K
Holders240−97337
Trades4.0K−2004.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.5%
+13.1 pp
47.4%
Avg ROI3.3%
−2.0 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−9.47×
×10.23
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−10.67×
×11.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.0K
+$11.3K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.05
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.5%
+122.4 pp
-91.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−5.3 pp
60.1%
Bot %57.5%
−5.4 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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