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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 17:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$113K+$43K$70K
Holders646+39607
Trades8.7K−2649.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
−1.9 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.9 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−27.58×
×27.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.38
−27.80×
×28.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$46.2K
−$20.4K
$66.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL151.0%
+247.4 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.5%
−96.4 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.5%
+1.6 pp
80.9%
Bot %82.3%
+1.7 pp
80.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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