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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 21:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$6.3K$10K
Holders252−76328
Trades1.8K−4732.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.8%
+0.4 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI0.8%
+0.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−38.74×
×39.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−38.91×
×39.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.0K
+$6.3K
$8.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL62.5%
+159.9 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.2%
+2.1 pp
41.1%
Bot %66.8%
+6.8 pp
60.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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