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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$42$43
Holders3+21
Trades4+31
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−54.0 pp
96.5%
Avg ROI114.8%
+113.7 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.10
+0.10×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$42
$43
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.16
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-9.4%
−9.4 pp
0.0%
Underwater %10.4%
+10.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.8%
+20.8 pp
0.0%
Bot %20.8%
+20.8 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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