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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 15:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K+$12K$13K
Holders317−49366
Trades4.5K+3224.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+12.3 pp
42.5%
Avg ROI0.4%
−2.5 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−35.23×
×35.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−32.14×
×32.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.1K
+$6.9K
$12.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.07
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.8%
+150.7 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.2%
−97.2 pp
97.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
+6.1 pp
75.0%
Bot %81.2%
+6.2 pp
75.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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