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Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C or higher on February 3?

data as of 2026-02-03 02:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$38−$11K$11K
Holders43−145188
Trades468+153315
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−52.5 pp
92.6%
Avg ROI141.6%
+140.9 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.82
+3.83×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$165
$167
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.46
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.6%
−82.0 pp
0.4%
Underwater %69.6%
+68.5 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.2%
+27.7 pp
7.5%
Bot %35.2%
+27.7 pp
7.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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