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Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?

data as of 2026-06-15 21:22 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Aug 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
64¢
NO
31¢
YES
64¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K+$445$688
Holders29−3463
Trades174−91265
NO
31¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.7%
−0.8 pp
60.5%
Avg ROI11.9%
+7.9 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−0.22×
×1.19
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−0.27×
×1.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.50
0.50
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.1%
+19.2 pp
-16.0%
Underwater %12.8%
−68.9 pp
81.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.8%
−10.8 pp
59.6%
Bot %48.8%
−11.2 pp
60.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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