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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2025-11-20 20:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.6K−$4.5K$7.2K
Holders94+4252
Trades494+39455
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−11.8 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI-2.2%
−4.3 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.23
+29.53×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×27.22
+26.52×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$211
−$1.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.17
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−138.3 pp
42.1%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.1%
−19.3 pp
65.5%
Bot %45.6%
−19.8 pp
65.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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