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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-05 00:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K−$33K$67K
Holders477+137340
Trades6.3K−396.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.3%
−17.7 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI11.8%
+6.4 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×49.60
+49.10×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×48.63
+48.09×
×0.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32.4K
+$7.5K
$24.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.09
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−199.6 pp
102.0%
Underwater %95.4%
+95.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.0%
−10.5 pp
84.5%
Bot %74.4%
−9.6 pp
84.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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