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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 11:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$5.2K$9.6K
Holders175+37138
Trades2.4K+1182.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+4.9 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI0.8%
−2.4 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−38.91×
×39.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.52
−35.96×
×36.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.8K
+$1.7K
$5.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.02
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL87.0%
+184.4 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.6%
−99.3 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.3%
−1.2 pp
75.5%
Bot %82.7%
−3.7 pp
86.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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