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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 11:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.7K−$12K$15K
Holders267−29296
Trades1.6K+2491.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.7%
−4.3 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI2.1%
+1.8 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.15×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.28
+5.44×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.5K
−$11.6K
$14.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.00
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-84.8%
−105.2 pp
20.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.6 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
−9.7 pp
42.8%
Bot %37.4%
−12.9 pp
50.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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