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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 16:33 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.3K−$26K$31K
Holders383+72311
Trades3.0K+4682.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.7%
−30.7 pp
64.4%
Avg ROI3.3%
+3.9 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.90
+14.06×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.53
+13.66×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.9K
−$10.6K
$15.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.09
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−114.6 pp
20.3%
Underwater %97.7%
+97.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.6%
−23.2 pp
79.8%
Bot %55.7%
−23.3 pp
78.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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