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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 04:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$42K+$28K$14K
Holders365−76441
Trades3.9K−1.1K5.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.4%
+24.4 pp
43.0%
Avg ROI-0.0%
−31.1 pp
31.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−27.15×
×27.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−22.54×
×23.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34.5K
+$25.4K
$9.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.06
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.9%
+121.7 pp
-95.8%
Underwater %13.2%
−79.8 pp
93.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.4%
+8.1 pp
74.3%
Bot %82.5%
+8.0 pp
74.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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