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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 04:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$3.5K$11K
Holders329−38367
Trades2.4K−1362.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+0.7 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI-3.3%
−7.2 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−8.82×
×9.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−8.34×
×8.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.8K
+$1.4K
$10.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL83.0%
+171.5 pp
-88.5%
Underwater %4.0%
−92.8 pp
96.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.3%
+0.9 pp
26.5%
Bot %48.7%
−3.2 pp
51.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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