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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 13?

data as of 2026-04-11 08:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$36−$1.5K$1.5K
Holders44−246
Trades438+142296
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.1%
−60.6 pp
87.7%
Avg ROI8.8%
+8.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.54
+0.54×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.87
+0.88×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$116
$118
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-46.0%
−47.8 pp
1.8%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.2%
+18.9 pp
1.4%
Bot %20.2%
+18.9 pp
1.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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