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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2026-04-03 11:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$20K$30K
Holders229−4233
Trades2.5K−672.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−3.4 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI-3.9%
−2.6 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.93
+14.24×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.60
+13.93×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.8K
−$9.0K
$10.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.06
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−142.9 pp
49.5%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.5%
+9.8 pp
75.7%
Bot %85.6%
+10.0 pp
75.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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