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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 08:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.3K−$6.7K$16K
Holders268−22290
Trades3.0K+5552.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+7.5 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI1.1%
−6.3 pp
7.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.23
−8.33×
×8.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.31
−7.24×
×7.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.6K
−$8.8K
$15.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.06
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL221.8%
+308.0 pp
-86.2%
Underwater %1.1%
−92.9 pp
94.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.8%
+2.8 pp
74.0%
Bot %72.9%
−3.1 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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