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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 19:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$1.6K$14K
Holders286−15301
Trades2.3K+502.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−1.3 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI-1.9%
−2.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−13.22×
×13.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.51
−12.99×
×13.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.8K
+$437
$13.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL98.9%
+191.2 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.8%
−6.1 pp
36.9%
Bot %49.8%
−12.4 pp
62.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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