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Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-21 16:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$261−$42K$42K
Holders59−70129
Trades1.5K+523997
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.0%
−53.1 pp
85.1%
Avg ROI16.8%
+10.7 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.80
+0.80×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.11
+1.12×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$136
$137
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.38
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-52.8%
−53.3 pp
0.5%
Underwater %86.0%
+86.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.9%
−44.4 pp
63.3%
Bot %18.9%
−44.4 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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