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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 16:12 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$51K+$41K$10K
Holders305+74231
Trades3.6K−3413.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+6.2 pp
47.1%
Avg ROI-1.8%
+0.6 pp
-2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−12.26×
×12.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−11.66×
×12.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
+$10.3K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.25
0.67
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.9%
+129.0 pp
-92.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.9%
+4.6 pp
71.3%
Bot %76.0%
+4.8 pp
71.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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