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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

data as of 2025-12-18 15:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10.0K−$22K$32K
Holders260+98162
Trades2.8K+3552.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.1%
−15.4 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI-0.0%
+0.4 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.61
+18.79×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.09
+19.30×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$581
−$8.1K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
+0.02
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−123.3 pp
27.9%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.2 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.0%
+7.4 pp
61.6%
Bot %68.8%
+4.6 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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